Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 4.502094 5.193347 5.953534 6.851341 7.882601 9.030022 10.403636
2024-12-22 3.438834 4.313622 5.356533 6.690835 8.352361 10.353307 12.946905
2024-12-29 2.937154 3.964041 5.277552 7.079314 9.486010 12.590211 16.900629
2025-01-05 2.513378 3.622627 5.133972 7.340705 10.479284 14.783250 21.138215
2025-01-12 2.117790 3.240675 4.860971 7.364841 11.134534 16.598639 25.127328
2025-01-19 1.711474 2.767431 4.373827 6.989176 11.137955 17.465154 27.856590
2025-01-26 1.539954 2.618804 4.341115 7.281856 12.174213 19.988463 33.429623
2025-02-02 1.438457 2.562963 4.439984 7.788895 13.610330 23.313038 40.728361
2025-02-09 1.295408 2.411716 4.354857 7.968048 14.513256 25.866869 47.075190
2025-02-16 1.162151 2.255178 4.234526 8.061214 15.267420 28.245896 53.415737
2025-02-23 1.008906 2.036849 3.969906 7.848522 15.427542 29.573967 58.004909
2025-03-02 0.861326 1.806012 3.647730 7.476559 15.226911 30.194325 61.314973
2025-03-09 0.783955 1.707499 3.574345 7.596036 16.029630 32.881311 69.131374
2025-03-16 0.687142 1.553549 3.368152 7.416057 16.203470 34.357426 74.728392
2025-03-23 0.656427 1.537435 3.445540 7.844608 17.711304 38.745835 87.010658
2025-03-30 0.616397 1.494100 3.458002 8.132942 18.955896 42.742880 99.004833
2025-04-06 0.561320 1.407076 3.360747 8.159070 19.616639 45.558063 108.758187
2025-04-13 0.484071 1.254449 3.090944 7.743075 19.196097 45.898873 112.879921
2025-04-20 0.461064 1.232631 3.127023 8.066686 20.579956 50.565119 127.857576
2025-04-27 0.452505 1.246454 3.251714 8.627488 22.623174 57.051476 148.140586
2025-05-04 0.425135 1.206260 3.235146 8.825584 23.779192 61.529206 164.011466
2025-05-11 0.395754 1.155913 3.185151 8.928588 24.702748 65.543860 179.237964
2025-05-18 0.354770 1.066472 3.018708 8.693274 24.691971 67.165207 188.381379